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A woman claimed that on the night VH-MDX disappeared, her family was living in a caravan on a property north of Stroud, a temporary situation while their house was being built. The van was on the side of a hill, and the wind that evening was so fierce, her father felt the van was in danger of being tipped.
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Although the witness is now deceased, her daughter told Mr Grimmer that her father and various friends and family members conducted amateur searches for the craft for years to no avail. This news matched Mr Grimmer’s theory the plane crashed further east than where the official searches had been conducted over the decades.
“The area of high probability is a massive area, so it will take us many years to search it, but we are slowly getting through it,” explains Glenn Horrocks, a Deputy Unit Commander for the Bush Search and Rescue Unit of the NSW State Emergency Service.
“Most importantly, it is likely to be clearly identifiable, so if you stood next to it you would know straight away it is an aircraft. There is likely to be moss or mould growing on it and vines strung over it, but many aircraft wrecks remain amazingly clean for decades,” he says.
Each year, NSW Police and SES team up to look for VH-MDX, expanding the search year on year. Last year, a 90-strong team, featuring police rescue officers, ambulance special operations team, rural firefighters, and SES crew searched an area of three square kilometres across three days.
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“But he has some theories which I don’t see much evidence to support, so those areas of his research we consider unlikely,” he explains, adding that limited search resources mean they tend to “focus on scenarios which are best supported by reliable evidence”.
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An initial nine-day search, involving helicopters and hundreds of volunteers searching by foot, turned up nothing, as did a follow-up search four weeks later, this time with over 400 army reserve members, police officers and bush rescue volunteers scouring the forest.
“It is clear that so far we have been searching in the wrong area,” Mr Horrocks admits, “because VH-MDX has not been found yet. Also everybody else has been searching in the wrong spot as well, of course.
Opting on a whim to circumnavigate the military airspace above Williamstown RAAF rather than wait for flight clearance, Hutchins steered away from the coast just south of Taree and headed towards the Barrington Ranges, 90 minutes north of Newcastle.
The radio correspondence conveys the horror: “Our standby compass is swinging like blazes”; “Just to compound things, we thought we had a cockpit fire, but we seem to have resolved that little problem” — although Hutchins’ controlled demeanour belies the impending danger — at first.
As it stands, the majority of the search has taken place in an 80km crash zone. It’s a large area, made all the more daunting by the knowledge the plane likely dropped altitude steadily, rather than tailspinning out of control and dropping.
He went outside to secure the van with ropes when he saw the lights of a plane flying dangerously low over the valley. He waited for the plane to re-emerge, and when it didn’t, he assumed it must have crashed. The next morning he woke to news that a plane had gone missing at Barrington Tops, roughly 60km away.
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VH-MDX flew at 7500 feet (2286 metres), then swiftly dropped to 6500 (1981 metres). As the operator at Sydney Air Traffic Control warned that 6000 feet was “the lowest safe” height an aircraft can fly in that area, the pilot’s voice became noticeably more panicked.
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Two vital pieces of equipment failed and the plane started to dip and rise and lose “a hell of a lot” of altitude as it became caught in a downdraft and started plummeting 1000 feet (305 metres) metres a minute.
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Mr Horrocks has been involved in the search efforts for VH-MDX since 1994 and has heard every conspiracy theory going, from physic visions that proved blind to rumours of the pilot being involved in gold smuggling, in cahoots with the captain of a ship anchored off the coast of Newcastle. (Horrocks points out that radars at both Williamtown Air Base and Sydney Air Traffic Control were monitoring the plane, making this theory particularly improbable.)
“There was no guarantee that the position of this call could be relied on to determine where MDX crashed. It could have flown much further after that call and so that would put it in a much harder to find area,” Mr Grimmer says.
“The thick rainforest vegetation could easily hide the wreckage and make it invisible unless you were standing right next to it. There are also large sections of the wilderness area which are so remote and hard to get to that almost nobody goes there.”
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